
The Chinese yuan fell to an eight-month low against the dollar after China's consumer prices rose less than forecast for a fifth month and producer price deflation persisted. The PBOC set its yuan midpoint at the weakest level in a while, hinting at controlled depreciation.
The dollar also rebounded from a three-week low after Fed Chair Powell suggested rate cuts might not come as soon as markets hoped.
A weaker yuan and firmer dollar make Chinese feed imports costlier in local terms and can dampen Chinese demand for US soybeans and corn, mildly pressuring grain prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.