
China's yuan slipped to a two-week low on June 13 after US consumer prices jumped in May, lifting the dollar to a four-week high. Markets priced a high chance of at least 125 basis points of Fed hikes over the next two meetings.
A stronger dollar on expected aggressive Fed tightening pressures dollar-priced commodities and can weigh on Chinese import demand at the margin.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 398 past bullish macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.