
The yuan weakened to a two-week low on March 24 as the dollar approached a four-month high. Concerns over a third COVID wave in Europe, possible US tax hikes, and China-West tensions, including the cancellation of EU-China talks, drove safe-haven demand.
A firmer dollar and weaker yuan lower China's purchasing power for dollar-priced feed imports, a mild bearish pressure on demand.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.