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Emerging-market currencies, including the Brazilian real, Chilean peso and South African rand, have held up against a dollar near multi-decade highs, as investors favor currencies benefiting from higher commodity prices and trade disruptions. The real has appreciated 13% against the dollar year to date.
Strong commodity-linked currencies such as the real support Brazilian export pricing and signal firm demand for commodity exporters, reinforcing elevated prices for soybeans and other feed inputs.
livemint.comWSJMay 26, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
