The U.S. dollar fell against emerging-market currencies as higher government bond yields in some of those countries made their currencies more attractive. The WSJ Dollar Index dropped 0.3% to 87.67, its largest decline since Oct.
10. The dollar lost 2% against the Brazilian real, 1.5% against the Turkish lira and 1% against the Mexican peso.
A weaker dollar lowers the local-currency cost of US commodity imports for emerging-market buyers, which can support demand for feed grains and oilseeds. A weaker real in particular tends to favour Brazilian export competitiveness, which can pressure US soybean and meal prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.