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Latin American currencies, led by the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, gained against a weaker dollar on March 20 as markets priced a possible Federal Reserve pause after banking sector stress. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse, and Brazil's central bank was expected to hold the Selic rate at 13.75%.
A softer dollar and firmer Latin currencies lower the local-currency cost of US commodity imports for Brazil and Mexico, a modestly supportive backdrop for export demand.
kitco.comMar 20, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
