
Latin American currencies were on track for their best monthly performance since May as the US dollar fell from multi-decade highs. Expectations that the Federal Reserve would slow its rate hikes drove the move, and the IMF raised its 2023 growth estimates for Brazil and Mexico.
A weaker dollar tends to support commodity prices and make Latin American exports cheaper for foreign buyers, which can modestly support soybean and corn trade flows.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.