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The dollar squeezed higher on Thanksgiving after minutes of the November Fed meeting suggested the central bank may shift asset purchases toward longer-term bonds. Analysts said the market was already short dollars, limiting downward momentum.
Expectations of a softer dollar over time tend to support dollar-priced commodities, but near-term moves are small and driven by positioning.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.