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Brazilian economists at Central Bank quarterly meetings on June 27, 2025, reached broad agreement that activity is resilient, inflation is slightly easing but above target, and fiscal policy is expansionary. They said the global weakness of the dollar has supported Brazilian assets.
A stronger real supports Brazilian import purchasing power for feed ingredients, while fiscal risk could reverse currency gains and shift export competitiveness.
valorinternational.globo.comVictor Rezende, Gabriel CaldeiraJun 30, 2025After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
