Brazil's real, Colombian peso jump as Fed dents dollar

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jul 5, 2025Colombian Peso Strengthens as US Dollar Continues to Decline+0.6%
• Dec 4, 2018Brazil stocks gain; real firms as U.S. dollar weakens+0.7%
• Nov 23, 2020Dollar deposits jump as punters bet on currency's rebound-0.6%
• Jan 28, 2026Brazilian real leads global rally as dollar extends sharp decline+0.4%
• Dec 7, 2022Gold jumps 1% as U.S. dollar, yields slip on Fed slowdown bets-1.0%

After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2022Brazil's real jumps as presidential transition to begin, Colombia's peso at record low | Financial Post-2.4%
• Dec 4, 2018Brazil stocks gain; real firms as U.S. dollar weakens+2.1%
• Jun 29, 2022Fed rate hike bets hit Latam assets; Brazil's real jumps | Financial Post+3.9%
• Jan 28, 2026Brazilian real leads global rally as dollar extends sharp decline+0.2%
• Jul 29, 2026Brazilian Real Gains as Fed Holds Rates-0.0%