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The Brazilian real posted the best performance among major currencies on Jan 27, closing at R$5.20 per dollar, its strongest level since May 2024. The move followed a sharp fall in the dollar, a benign IPCA-15 inflation reading, and expectations of a Selic rate cut at the central bank's upcoming decision.
A firmer real raises the dollar cost of Brazilian soybean and corn exports, which can support global prices for those crops. The broader weak-dollar trend also tends to lift dollar-denominated grain futures.
valorinternational.globo.comArthur Cagliari, Vinícius Lucena, Gabriel CaldeiraJan 28, 2026After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
