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Gold extended its record rally on July 17 as growing expectations of a September Fed rate cut and a weaker dollar lifted demand. Traders saw about a 98% chance of a September cut, and spot gold hit a record of about $2,455 before easing.
The dollar weakness tied to rate-cut bets is a macro tailwind for dollar-denominated commodities, though the link to feed prices is indirect.
reuters.comRahul PaswanAug 1, 2024After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
