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Brazil recorded net foreign exchange inflows of $24.06 billion from January to October, the highest for that period since 2011. The trade surplus reached $46.95 billion, the best January-October result since 2007, helping the real trade near R$4.9 per dollar after reaching R$5.22 in early October.
Strong agricultural export receipts and inflows keep the real firm, which lowers the local-currency cost of Brazilian soy and corn exports and can make Brazilian origin less attractive to buyers at the margin.
valorinternational.globo.comVictor Rezende, Arthur CagliariNov 16, 2023After 213 past bearish macro events, USDBRL moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
