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The Brazilian real closed the week of April 29, 2022 at BRL 4.944 per USD, a 2.9% weekly gain and 3.8% gain in April. The dollar strengthened internationally on expected rapid US monetary tightening, the Russia-Ukraine war, and Brazilian fiscal and political risk concerns.
A weaker real raises the local-currency cost of Brazilian exports such as soybeans, corn and meal, which can support dollar prices for these commodities, while Brazil's export competitiveness improves.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilApr 29, 2022After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
