Brazilian Economy Minister Paulo Guedes said the real has weakened against the dollar because of political uncertainty and disputes. He said fundamentals remain solid and the primary budget deficit is expected to be below 100 billion reais this year.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybean, corn and meal exports, which can add pressure to world prices while encouraging farmer selling in Brazil.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.