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China's central bank reintroduced a counter-cyclical factor into its yuan fixing to restrain depreciation amid trade tensions with the US. Analysts read the move as signaling that the yuan will not be used as a trade war weapon.
Reduced yuan weakness lowers the effective cost of US feed imports for Chinese buyers, a modest support for soybean and meal demand, while the trade dispute itself remains the main price driver.
cnbc.comKelly OlsenAug 27, 2018After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
