
The Chinese central bank allowed the yuan to decline to 7.1468 per dollar, its weakest since January 2008. President Trump said serious talks with China would start soon.
A weaker yuan cheapens Chinese imports of US farm goods and the prospect of talks may ease tariff pressure, so the net effect on US grain and soybean prices is mixed.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.