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The yuan rebounded from a three-month low against the dollar after the PBOC set a firmer-than-expected midpoint of 7.1991, 314 pips stronger than estimates. Officials appear uncomfortable with the pace of depreciation following Trump's re-election.
A weaker yuan following proposed US tariffs of 60% or more on China raises the cost of US soybean and corn imports for Chinese buyers, though the PBOC fix limits near-term moves.
brecorder.comReutersNov 13, 2024After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
