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The yuan inched higher against the dollar on July 31 after China's July manufacturing PMI showed a slower contraction, though activity fell for a fourth straight month. The PBOC set a firmer-than-expected midpoint of 7.1305 per dollar.
A firmer yuan and weak manufacturing reflect soft Chinese demand conditions and policy support, with limited direct impact on feed commodity prices.
After 362 past bearish macro events, USDCNY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.