Loading…
StoneX's weekly Brazil FX outlook says the dollar will reflect inflation in Brazil and the US and the credibility of fiscal and monetary policy. Bearish factors include possible Fed rate cuts, while bullish factors include fiscal risk from Brazil's 2025 budget breakdown.
The week saw strong currency volatility driven by shifting risk appetite.
Expectations of a firmer dollar against the real would raise Brazilian export commodity costs in dollar terms, while a weaker dollar would support Brazilian farm margins and export competitiveness.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence BrazilAug 26, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
