
The euro rose to three-week highs of 1.0614 against the dollar on May 23, 2022, as risk appetite improved on hopes for Chinese economic recovery. Markets priced in about a 0.9% ECB rate hike by year-end, and the dollar index fell 0.6% to 102.44.
China's central bank had cut interest rates.
Hopes for Chinese recovery support demand expectations for imported feed ingredients, while a weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities for non-US buyers. Both effects are indirect and sentiment-driven.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The euro hit three-week highs on May 23 as risk appetite improved on Chinese recovery hopes, the dollar index fell 0.6%, and markets priced in ECB tightening.