
EUR/USD climbed to its highest level since June 17 as suspected Japanese intervention and softer US data weighed on the dollar. US core PCE cooled in June and second-quarter GDP came in below forecast after the Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75%.
A weaker dollar tends to support US commodity prices, including soybeans, corn and meal, by making them cheaper for overseas buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.