
Chicago soybeans and corn rose on Thursday, led by soybeans, while Paris grain prices also gained. China's August industrial output grew 6%, below the 6.6% forecast, and analysts said the slowdown reflects financial deleveraging.
USDA raised its US corn and soybean yield estimates, but markets did not react strongly.
Weaker Chinese industrial growth can reduce commodity demand, while USDA's higher yields point to ample US supply. The net price effect in the session was limited.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.