Equities and bonds sold off across Asia Pacific and Europe while the dollar rallied, with the US 10-year yield rising to 3.11%. Gold fell to a new monthly low and October WTI crude traded near $93.75, while European gas benchmarks softened after reports Germany was near its storage target.
A firmer dollar and risk-off markets weigh on commodity prices broadly, while softer European gas prices reduce pressure on fertiliser and energy costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.