
Robin Mills writes that a global gas glut has made natural gas cheap, with Asian spot LNG dipping below $4/MMBtu this summer and Waha Hub prices falling to negative $4.28. European prices have dropped to a decade low near $3, and storage is about 95% full.
Producers must adjust costs to survive.
Persistent oversupply keeps global and US gas prices depressed, lowering energy costs for feed processing and export economics, though it is commentary rather than new supply news.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.