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The euro climbed past parity against a softer US dollar on Tuesday, helped by lower energy prices and expectations of a large European Central Bank rate hike. Market pricing showed roughly a 50 percent chance of a 75 basis point ECB hike at its next meeting.
Easing European gas prices and a firmer euro reduce import costs for European feed buyers and slightly weaken the dollar's pull on US commodity prices.
businesstimes.com.sgAug 30, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
