
The dollar slipped as markets bet that US interest rates have peaked. The dollar index was on course for its weakest monthly performance in a year.
Expectations grew that the Federal Reserve is finished raising rates and could begin cutting them the following year.
A softer dollar generally supports dollar-priced commodities such as grains, oilseeds and meals, and improves US export competitiveness. Lower rate expectations also reduce the cost of carrying inventories.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,108 past macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.6%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.