Marc Chandler previews the week ahead, covering China's PMI, eurozone CPI and GDP, US employment reports and upcoming central bank meetings. He notes that Brent oil gained about 9.4% in October and that Dutch natural gas fell around a third.
The Fed and BOE hikes support the dollar, while the energy moves shape input costs and freight for feed commodities.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 59 past bearish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.