Oil faced a week ahead dominated by US nonfarm payrolls, consumer confidence and second-quarter GDP after the Jackson Hole event lifted the dollar and Treasury yields. July payroll gains of 187,000 were the smallest since March 2021.
Traders also watched for positive China sentiment to support crude.
A strong US jobs print would reinforce rate expectations and a firmer dollar, which could cap crude prices and feed through to energy and freight costs.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.