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The Fed kept its target range at 4.25%-4.50% on May 7, 2025, the third consecutive hold of 2025. The article reviews how the hold is affecting stock, bond and commodity markets.
A prolonged hold keeps borrowing costs high and the dollar firm, a mild headwind for commodity prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.