Loading…
Agricultural economists at the USDA Outlook Forum identified phase-one China agreement, coronavirus, African swine fever and Argentina's tariff changes as key 2020 grain and oilseed considerations. They also noted a stronger dollar could hurt U.S. exports, and that China's GDP growth is expected to slow.
A stronger dollar and slower Chinese growth reduce export demand for U.S. grains and oilseeds, while the phase-one deal and African swine fever offer offsetting demand support.
world-grain.comMatt NoltemeyerFeb 24, 2020After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
