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A weekly market outlook for the week of June 4, 2018 lists soybeans consolidating with support at $9.80, corn at risk below $3.91, and wheat needing to hold $5.80. It also notes a expected Federal Reserve rate hike at the June 12-13 FOMC meeting and a 10-year Treasury yield trading range of 2.7 to 3.3 percent.
Expected Fed tightening can firm the dollar and pressure commodity prices, while the technical support levels frame near-term risk for corn and soybeans.
farmprogress.comRobert CoatsJun 4, 2018After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 13 past neutral macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
