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The Brazilian real traded near 5.50 per dollar on November 17, 2021, after the Economy Ministry cut 2021 and 2022 GDP growth forecasts and raised inflation forecasts. Stagflation concerns weighed on sentiment, though comments that spending respects the constitutional cap offered support.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper for overseas buyers, supporting Brazilian export flows and pressuring global prices, while higher domestic inflation and rates weigh on domestic feed demand.
teletrade.orgNov 17, 2021After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
