
Most Latin American currencies strengthened on Friday as the dollar pared gains after US inflation showed signs of cooling. The MSCI Latam currency index rose 0.8% and was on track for a quarterly gain above 8%, with the Mexican peso the biggest gainer in the first quarter.
Brazil's real firmed 0.4% after the finance ministry unveiled a proposal for new fiscal rules.
A stronger Mexican peso and Brazilian real make dollar-priced feed imports cheaper for buyers in those countries and reduce local costs for US grain and meal, while a weaker dollar generally supports dollar-denominated commodity prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.