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The Fed's policy rate remains in the 4.25%-4.50% range after its July meeting, and its hawkish message has pushed the dollar to a two-month high. The dollar index rose 1% but is still down about 8% for the year.
Fewer expected rate cuts keep the dollar firmer, which tends to pressure US commodity prices and support foreign-currency-based buyers' costs in relative terms.
reuters.comSaqib Iqbal AhmedJul 31, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
