The Brazilian real appreciated past 5.16 per US dollar, its strongest level since May 2024, as global investors reassessed high-yielding emerging market currencies. Support came from the central bank holding the Selic rate at 15% and a January trade surplus of $4.34 billion.
A stronger real makes Brazilian soybeans and corn pricier in dollar terms for importers and can weigh on Brazilian farm selling, a factor for feed input costs.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.