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Brazil's real fell to a fresh record low on Tuesday, and the central bank intervened twice by selling dollars in the spot market to slow the slide. Separately, a change to Colombia's tax reform raised concerns about a wider fiscal deficit and weighed on the Colombian peso.
A weaker real makes Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal cheaper for export buyers, which tends to pressure world soy and corn prices while encouraging Brazilian farmers to sell. Intervention may limit the decline in the near term.
wallstreetreporter.comNov 26, 2019After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
