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The Brazilian real weakened as much as 2% to 3.78 per dollar, its weakest since March 2016, as a global emerging market selloff led investors to unwind bets on stronger EM currencies. The currency fell for a sixth straight day despite increased central bank intervention, and had lost 11.3% since the start of the year.
Rising US bond yields, driven by expectations of Fed rate hikes, were pulling capital out of higher-yielding emerging markets.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which tends to pressure world feed grain and meal prices while encouraging Brazilian export selling. Feed importers may benefit from cheaper Brazilian origin, but volatility adds hedging costs.
cnbc.comBruno FederowskiMay 18, 2018After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly describes the real's slump to 3.78 per dollar on 2018-05-18 for a sixth straight day despite central bank intervention, as an EM selloff and rising US yields drove capital out, which is the move in question.
