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Brazil's central bank increased dollar sales to support the real, which weakened past 5.00 per dollar for the first time. The bank also pledged measures to ease strains in the bond market.
Intervention limits the real's fall but cannot fully offset global risk-off flows, so Brazilian export prices in dollar terms stay soft. This keeps pressure on Brazilian soy and corn prices.
reuters.comJamie McGeeverMar 12, 2020After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On March 12 the real broke past 5.00 per dollar for the first time despite stepped-up dollar sales, which started the weakening within the 5-day window.
The real weakened past 5.00 per dollar despite increased central bank dollar sales, showing selling pressure outweighed intervention, with bond-market strains adding to stress.
The real broke past 5.00 per dollar on March 12 despite increased central bank dollar sales, showing the depreciation momentum and weak intervention efficacy that preceded the March 16 jump.
