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Brazil's central bank will auction up to $1 billion in foreign exchange swap contracts on Thursday, its sixth intervention in the swaps market in recent weeks. The real has slid about 12% this year to record lows, reaching 4.56 per dollar.
Currency intervention aims to slow the real's slide, which affects the competitiveness of Brazilian soybean and corn exports and therefore global feed pricing. Continued weakness in the real would tend to pressure dollar-denominated grain and meal prices lower.
reuters.comMar 4, 2020After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
