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Soybean futures rose Wednesday for a fifth straight session to their highest since August, led by a surge in soybean oil after EPA raised its biofuel use targets for 2017. Ethanol spiked briefly but gave back gains by midday, and wheat fell on forecasts of rain in the dry Southeast.
The EPA biofuel volume increase boosts demand for soybean oil in biodiesel, supporting soybean and soyoil prices. Corn's reaction was muted, so the ethanol-driven corn demand effect looks limited.
feedstuffs.comBob Burgdorfer 1Nov 23, 2016After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
