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Soybeans led Chicago grains on January 14 as soyoil rose about 3.7% and beans gained roughly 1%, while corn and wheat slipped. Traders expect the US to set 2026 biofuel blending quotas by early March, close to the initial proposal, and NOPA reported strong December crush.
Expected biofuel quotas support soyoil demand for renewable diesel, which lifts the soybean complex, while strong crush supports meal supply. Record global grain supplies and Brazil's upcoming harvest cap corn and wheat prices and soybean export competition.
finimize.comFinimize NewsroomJan 15, 2026After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
