CBOT wheat falls as Russia issues grain vessel permits; soybeans, soyoil follow

After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Aug 24, 2026India allows exports of some categories of wheat and wheat flour, govt notice says | MarketScreener Australia-0.4%
• Jul 7, 2025Wheat falls more than 3% on supply pressure; corn, soybeans drop-3.4%
• Nov 12, 2024U.S. grains: Soybeans plunge with Trump EPA pick; wheat and corn also fall - AgCanada-1.4%
• Apr 29, 2019India lifts wheat tariff as election, harvest shape policy - Grain Central-4.1%
• Nov 8, 2017India doubles wheat import tax, imposes 50 per cent tax on peas - Grainews+1.2%

After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Jan 5, 2022India sets stock limits on soybean meal | World Grain-0.1%
• Jul 7, 2025Wheat falls more than 3% on supply pressure; corn, soybeans drop-4.9%
• Oct 14, 2026CBOT soybean oil futures plunge as EPA biofuel proposal weighs on the market | S&P Global-2.3%
• Dec 1, 2020Waivers Create Woes for Struggling Soy Markets | Feed & Grain-0.9%
• Nov 12, 2024U.S. grains: Soybeans plunge with Trump EPA pick; wheat and corn also fall - AgCanada-0.2%

After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jun 28, 2021Palm falls as US court ruling stokes demand worries for rival soyoil - Markets - Business Recorder+6.2%
• Apr 1, 2022Palm falls 3pc as India extends stock limit - Markets - Business Recorder+271.3%
• Jun 2, 2025Soybean oil prices fall amid uncertainty over US biofuel market and falling oil prices, but India's tariff cuts will boost demand-2.3%
• Oct 14, 2026CBOT soybean oil futures plunge as EPA biofuel proposal weighs on the market | S&P Global+2.4%
• Dec 1, 2020Waivers Create Woes for Struggling Soy Markets | Feed & Grain+2.6%