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Malaysian palm oil futures fell over 3% on April 1, 2022, logging their first monthly decline of the year after India extended its edible oil and oilseed stock limit to Dec. 31.
Crude oil fell more than $5 on reports the US may release strategic reserves, and Russia announced sunflower seed export bans and a sunflower oil export quota.
Weaker crude reduces palm's appeal as biodiesel feedstock, and Russia's sunflower restrictions tighten the vegetable oil supply, which supports meal and oil alternatives. Net price direction for palm and soyoil was lower on the day.
brecorder.comReutersApr 1, 2022After 399 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly dated April 1: palm fell over 3% as India extended its edible oil stock limit (weaker import demand sentiment) and crude dropped over $5 on possible US strategic reserve release, cutting biodiesel appeal.
On April 1 palm fell over 3% as India extended its edible oil stock limit (curbing import demand) and crude dropped over $5 on possible US reserve release, directly driving the final-day drop.
Confirms crude dropped over $5 on US SPR release reports, though dated April 1, just after the window ended.
