
Malaysian palm oil futures slipped on June 28, tracking a sharp drop in Chicago soyoil after a US Supreme Court ruling made it easier for small refineries to win biofuel blending exemptions. Purchases by key importers were sluggish, and Malaysia extended a national COVID-19 lockdown.
The court ruling weakens expected US biofuel demand for soyoil, pulling palm lower through competition in vegetable oil markets. Weak import buying from India, the EU and China adds further downside pressure.
After 399 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.