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Malaysian palm oil futures fell 85 ringgit (1.7%) to 4,904 ringgit a tonne on expectations of higher production and weaker demand. The decline followed Indonesia's plan to offer larger export quotas to its palm oil companies.
Indonesia's return to the export market after a recent halt has disrupted Malaysian demand.
Larger Indonesian export quotas and rising output add supply to a market where export demand is already weakening, pressuring palm prices lower. Soyoil and palm are substitutes in vegetable oils, so softer palm can weigh on related edible oil prices.
brecorder.comReutersJun 29, 2022brecorder.comReutersJun 30, 2022After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm fell on expectations of higher output and weaker demand after Indonesia planned larger export quotas, signalling supply returning to the export market.
Larger Indonesian export quotas and weaker demand pushed futures lower, with Malaysian demand disrupted.
