Malaysian palm oil futures closed down 3.9% to 3,490 ringgit a tonne on February 18, hitting a one-week low, after Malaysia kept its March crude palm oil export tax at 8% but raised the reference price. Traders cited demand concerns for March and lower local prices in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
A higher export tax base and weaker destination demand reduce Malaysian export competitiveness, pressuring palm oil prices and adding to vegetable oil cost pressure for feed users.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.