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CBOT soybeans fell sharply after President-elect Trump's nominee for EPA head, Lee Zeldin, was seen as unfavorable to biofuels. Soybean oil futures dropped four percent, and wheat and corn also declined, with wheat hit by a strengthening dollar.
Expected weaker biofuel policy support reduces soyoil demand and pulls soybean crush values lower, while a stronger dollar makes US wheat less competitive abroad.
agcanada.comAGCanadaNov 12, 2024After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
