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Chicago soybeans fell 2.7% on December 1 after the EPA proposed smaller-than-expected increases in biofuel blending requirements for 2023-2025, and front-month soyoil plunged 9%. Wheat slid on disappointing export sales and corn was pulled lower by soybean weakness.
A smaller US biofuel mandate reduces expected demand for soyoil and soybean crush, which bears on soybean and meal prices and pulls grain sentiment lower.
agcanada.comAGCanadaDec 2, 2022After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
