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Chicago soyoil futures reached their highest in about 18 months after the EPA proposed larger-than-expected biofuel blending volumes over the next two years. Renewed Israel-Iran strikes lifted crude oil, while soybeans edged higher and wheat and corn retreated.
The biofuel mandate and higher crude both increase demand for soyoil, which supports soybean crush values, while weak corn and wheat demand and benign weather weigh on those grains.
tradingview.comJun 16, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil hit an 18-month high on larger biofuel volumes, with Mideast-driven crude strength adding support.
Soyoil hit an 18-month high on larger biofuel volumes and Mideast crude support, though dated after the move window.
